Effects analysis, simulation


TÁRKI is the Hungarian participant in the EU-funded I-CUE project (2005-8). The project is co-ordinated by ISER (Institute for Social and Economic Research, UK) and the European Centre, Vienna, and aims to start the process of expanding EUROMOD to cover the 10 new Member States and to make EUROMOD easier to use. (EUROMOD is a project to develop the European tax and benefit model.

Microsimultion modelling - TÁRSZIM

The first wave of microsimulation development at TÁRKI was carried out in 1995. Since then, model-building and IT development have been performed on a contractual basis, at the request of the Ministry of Finance. For the most recent wave, the Ministry of Health, Social Affairs and Family joined in, too. After statistical matching to anonymised microdata from tax records (bought from the tax authorities) and to consumption records (purchased from the Central Statistical Office), the Monitor database is incorporated into the TÁRSZIM microsimulation model.


Monitoring pension developments through micro socio economic instruments based on individual data sources: feasibility study (PENMICRO)

Lead researcher: Róbert Gál

The overarching aim of this ongoing project is to develop an analytical framework capable of capturing the relevant aspects of micro instruments Member States apply in modelling future developments in their pension schemes and the datasets behind them, and to apply this framework in describing and comparing the national approaches.

The research team will carry out three main tasks:

Pension reform

Pension reform - Pension Reform and Intergenerational Redistribution in Hungary (National Research and Development Fund)
In a generational accounting analysis, we separated the long-term effects of the main components of the comprehensive 1997 Hungarian pension reform. This calculation was later revised and extended using retrospective data in order to quantify intergenerational redistribution in the Hungarian pension system through the complete life-cycles of subsequent generations.